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फलानि ग्रहचारेण सूचयन्ति मनीषिणः ।
को वक्ता तारतम्यस्य तमेकं वेधसं विना ॥

Read Translation
"Those who know Astrology can only indicate in a way what will take place in the future. Who else, except the creator Brahma, can say with certainty what will definitely happen?"
Geopolitical Forecast

Wars and Tensions in 2026

By Raman Suprajarama
Published: December 2025

On 25 April, all Grahas align in a graha-mālikā bound within the Rāhu–Ketu axis, forming a kāla-sarpa enclosure. Such a pattern compresses geopolitical space, heightens reactive tendencies among states, and increases sensitivity to provocation in fragile theatres.

India–Pakistan Border Tensions and Debilitated Mars

In 2026, India and Pakistan are not heading towards a full-scale war. Instead, the year is marked by miscommunication and natural disruptions. The riskiest period falls between late June and late July, when Mars moves through Taurus and Mercury retrogrades. This astrological pattern signals a higher chance of border mistakes and airspace violations. As Mars shifts into Gemini from August to mid-September, expect more aerial tension and brinkmanship. From mid-September to November, Mars is weakened in Cancer, turning military focus away from conflict and towards disaster relief and domestic security.

Journalists should watch for spikes in casualties along the Line of Control, increased air interceptions, and tough political statements that cool off quickly. These events could shake the rupee, disrupt aviation, and spark brief risk-off sentiment in South Asia. India’s best approach is to run hotline drills, strengthen intelligence sharing, prepare for floods, and keep public messaging clear. The strategic advice: avoid military exercises during Mercury retrograde, improve energy and cyber defences, keep diplomatic channels open with Gulf partners, and show humanitarian leadership. Vedic astrology suggests patience and internal stability are key to managing this unpredictable cycle.

Russia–Ukraine Tensions, Saturn and The Frozen Iron and Frayed Resolve

The Russia–Ukraine war shows no sign of ending in 2026. Chances of a ceasefire before the year’s end are slim. Vedic astrology backs this deadlock: Saturn in Aquarius signals stubborn systems and slow progress, while Jupiter in Cancer highlights a shift from peace talks to urgent worries over food and humanitarian

Israel–Iran Arc, Mars and Fire Through Proxy and Pride

Escalation in the Middle East is a matter of degree, not possibility, with the highest risk from May to October 2026. Vedic astrology points to Mars entering Aries on 10 May, signifying direct aggression, while the Sun in fire signs intensifies national pride and Jupiter’s move to Cancer in May raises the stakes for energy security. Expect a sharp uptick in proxy missile exchanges, drone swarms, and maritime standoffs. Watch for IRGC commanders making bold public threats, oil tankers being intercepted, and emergency naval coordination in the Gulf. Oil prices could surge past $110, LNG shipping routes will face pressure, and regional defence alliances, especially GCC, US, and Israel, will harden their positions. Gold is likely to see increased demand as a safe haven. Immediate action is required: leaders must strengthen covert communication lines via Oman and Qatar, set up humanitarian corridors, and brace financial markets for shocks. Oil price hedges at $105 and $120 are advised, along with securing alternate shipping routes and boosting AI-driven missile defence coordination. Clear red-line communications are essential, and restraint in public rhetoric is critical, this period rewards quiet, decisive deterrence.

Korean Peninsula, Mercury Retrogradation and Squabbling

North Korea’s 2026 strategy is shaped by opportunistic provocation rather than a drive towards outright conflict. Vedic astrology highlights two danger windows: March to July and October to November, coinciding with Mars moving through air signs and key US–South Korea military exercises. Mercury’s retrograde in June and July amplifies the risk of miscommunication, cyber interference, and accidental escalation. Expect North Korea to test international resolve with ICBM launches near Japanese waters, short-range missile barrages, and disruptions to satellite flight paths. The likely fallout includes sharp declines in Korean equities, a surge in the Japanese yen as a safe haven, and tremors across electronics supply chains. Immediate priorities for Seoul, Tokyo, and Washington are to conduct hotline stress-tests, expand civil cyber and EMP defences, and develop clear public messaging to prevent panic. Strategic foresight calls for liquidity buffers in safe Asian markets, diversification of chip sourcing, and activating Japan–ASEAN contingency routing for critical components. Vedic indicators suggest that prideful escalation will provoke harsh consequences, and restraint and disciplined preparedness offer the safest path through these volatile alignments.

Taiwan Strait, Mercury and The Semiconductor Straitjacketing Moment

In 2026, the Taiwan Strait faces a phase of controlled escalation, with Beijing testing international resolve but stopping short of a full-scale invasion. The highest risk period is expected between June and November, driven by the PLA's rapid military upgrades and a tightening of US, Japan, and Philippines naval coordination. Vedic astrology points to Mars in Aries and Taurus from May to August, signalling bold territorial moves. Mercury’s retrograde in Cancer (June–July) raises the risk of miscommunication in air and sea corridors. Saturn’s retrograde in Aquarius (August–December) adds stress to alliance frameworks and airspace management. Watch for sharp jumps in daily air sorties, assertive air defence identification zone (ADIZ) actions, cyber-attacks on Taiwan’s chip industry, and maritime blockades. These developments threaten semiconductor supply chains, trigger capital flight to safer markets, increase shipping insurance, and fuel yen volatility. Leaders are urged to quietly strengthen semiconductor supply routes in India, Japan, and Arizona, enhance air-safety measures, and maintain a critical supply buffer for six to nine months. Rapid-response plans for financial and air-route shocks must also be in place.

Red Sea Straits, Cancer and Maritime Needles in Chokepoint Veins

Astrological indicators point to heightened maritime risk in the Red Sea from February to August 2026. Mars transits Pisces in April and Jupiter’s movement into Cancer from May to October signal intensified pressure on shipping routes and resource corridors. Mercury retrograde in February and March heightens the likelihood of communication failures. Intelligence predicts increased shipping coercion, recurring tanker harassment, and coalition strikes targeting drone and launch sites. Economic fallout is expected: freight surcharges may rise by 40%, supply chains will face delays, and rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope will become common. Governments should implement dynamic convoy systems, strengthen naval command structures, and prepare emergency reserves of grain and oil for regions most at risk. Strategic advice is to defend with strength but avoid overconfidence, as excessive assertion could worsen the situation.

Jupiter, Sahel and Sub-Saharan Corridor and Minerals, Mercenaries, and Migration

Africa will face rising tension from April to December 2026. The risk is not a single war, but a network of stress across the continent. Vedic astrology shows Jupiter in Cancer, making food and resources a central issue. Venus turning retrograde in October and November points to fights over value and control. Mars moving through strong signs means territorial disputes will flare up. Journalists should watch for mine closures in places like the DRC and Niger, attempts at coups, foreign mercenaries arriving, and waves of refugees heading towards the Mediterranean. These events will shake up battery metal prices, put pressure on European borders, and strain insurance markets. Both China and Western countries will compete for influence on African soil. Leaders are likely to focus on talks over resources, agreements tying security and development, and making sure supply chains are reliable. The smart move is to find new sources for electric vehicle minerals, boost recycling efforts, and work with India and Gulf partners on logistics to avoid relying too much on a single route. The key is to invest with insight, aiming for stability and control over green supply chains, guided by the astrological signals of the year.

⚠ Official Advisory

Special Advisory for External Affairs Ministry of India

This analysis indicates a period demanding strategic autonomy and foresight. India's leadership is advised to prioritise the fortification of maritime security and high-technology supply chains, particularly semiconductors. Concurrently, heightened border vigilance is essential during the mid-year transits, and robust internal frameworks for disaster relief and resource management will be critical to maintaining stability.

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