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फलानि ग्रहचारेण सूचयन्ति मनीषिणः ।
को वक्ता तारतम्यस्य तमेकं वेधसं विना ॥

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"Those who know Astrology can only indicate in a way what will take place in the future. Who else, except the creator Brahma, can say with certainty what will definitely happen?"
State Election Forecast

West Bengal Assembly Elections 2026: Charisma Versus Calculated Infiltration

By Raman Suprajarama
Published: December 2025

In West Bengal, the 2026 election presents a polarized arena. The core conflict is between the singular leadership charisma of the incumbent and the challenger's calculated, defection-driven incursions, fought over booth dominance and identity levers.

The incumbent TMC, led by its energy epicenter Mamata Banerjee (Taurus Moon) with Abhishek Banerjee managing youth logistics, retains high salience for its women-facing welfare schemes and dense booth network. The BJP's challenge, spearheaded by Suvendu Adhikari (Virgo Moon) and supported by community levers like the Matua leadership, has breadth but faces a conversion deficit in the critical Kolkata-adjacent urban ring. The Left+Congress axis functions primarily as a potential spoiler.

Planetary transits during the April-May 2026 window highlight resource fortification and personal magnetism. For the TMC, Saturn in the 11th from Mamata's Moon is positioned to drive broad popular gains, while Jupiter in the 2nd fortifies booth-level resources. Venus's transit enhances her unyielding appeal.

For the BJP, Jupiter in the 10th from Adhikari's Moon sharpens opposition tactics, but Saturn in the 7th may weaken the effectiveness of defection-hunts. This astrological dynamic aligns with the ground reality: the TMC is predicted to maintain a robust edge, with transit-supported charisma and network superiority sustaining its advantage.

Highlights

  • The election is a conflict between the singular leadership charisma of the incumbent TMC and the BJP's calculated, defection-driven incursions.
  • Planetary transits highlight resource fortification and personal magnetism. Saturn in the 11th from Mamata's Moon drives broad popular gains.
  • For the BJP, Saturn in the 7th may weaken the effectiveness of defection-hunts.
  • The TMC is predicted to maintain a robust edge, with transit-supported charisma and network superiority sustaining its advantage.

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